Problem Analysis #27

Motif 3 · Run 1

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Problem Statement

This is a Korean CSAT mathematics multiple-choice problem. Solve it and put only the correct choice symbol, one of ①, ②, ③, ④, ⑤, inside \boxed{}.

Problem 28 There are sixteen balls and six empty boxes labeled with the integers 1,2,3,4,5,6. Using a single die, we perform the following experiment. Roll the die once. If the outcome isk, then – ifkis odd, put one ball into each of the boxes labeled 1, 3, and 5; – ifkis even, put one ball into each box whose label is a positive divisor ofk. This experiment is repeated 4 times. After the 4 repetitions, suppose that the sum of the numbers of balls in all six boxes is odd. Under this condition, find the probability that the number of balls in the box labeled 3 is exactly one greater than the number of balls in the box labeled 2. [4 points] ① 1 8 ② 3 16 ③ 1 4 ④ 5 16 ⑤ 3 8 Numerical answer

Ground Truth
Recorded model response / solution
Reasoning Process

대화가 없습니다

로그인 회원가입 You are solving a Korean CSAT mathematics problem. Reason carefully, but the final response must contain exactly one final answer inside \boxed{}.

For multiple-choice problems, put only one of ①, ②, ③, ④, ⑤ inside \boxed{}. For short-answer problems, put only the final integer inside \boxed{}. Do not use external tools.

Problem 28 There are sixteen balls and six empty boxes labeled with the integers 1,2,3,4,5,6. Using a single die, we perform the following experiment. Roll the die once. If the outcome isk, then – ifkis odd, put one ball into each of the boxes labeled 1, 3, and 5; – ifkis even, put one ball into each box whose label is a positive divisor ofk. This experiment is repeated 4 times. After the 4 repetitions, suppose that the sum of the numbers of balls in all six boxes is odd. Under this condition, find the probability that the number of balls in the box labeled 3 is exactly one greater than the number of balls in the box labeled 2. [4 points] ① 1 8 ② 3 16 ③ 1 4 ④ 5 16 ⑤ 3 8 Numerical answer 더보기

We are given 16 balls and 6 empty boxes labeled 1 through 6. A fair die is rolled 4 times. For each roll with outcome 𝑘 k:

If 𝑘 k is odd, put one ball into each of boxes 1, 3, 5. If 𝑘 k is even, put one ball into each box whose label is a positive divisor of 𝑘 k.

After the 4 rolls, the total number of balls in all six boxes is odd. Under this condition, we need the probability that the number of balls in box 3 is exactly one greater than the number in box 2.

Step 1: Effect of a single roll on each box. For each 𝑘 ∈ { 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 , 6 } k∈{1,2,3,4,5,6}:

𝑘

1 , 3 , 5 k=1,3,5 (odd): boxes 1,3,5 get +1. Boxes 2,4,6 get 0. 𝑘

2 k=2: divisors 1,2 → boxes 1,2 get +1. 𝑘

4 k=4: divisors 1,2,4 → boxes 1,2,4 get +1. 𝑘

6 k=6: divisors 1,2,3,6 → boxes 1,2,3,6 get +1.

Thus the increments for box 2 and box 3 are:

Box 2: +1 if 𝑘 ∈ { 2 , 4 , 6 } k∈{2,4,6} (even), else 0. Box 3: +1 if 𝑘 ∈ { 1 , 3 , 5 , 6 } k∈{1,3,5,6} (odd or 6), else 0.

Define the difference 𝐷

𝐵 3 − 𝐵 2 D=B 3 ​

−B 2 ​

after 4 rolls. For a single roll, the contribution to 𝐷 D is:

𝑘 ∈ { 1 , 3 , 5 } k∈{1,3,5}: Δ 𝐵 3

1 , Δ 𝐵 2

0 ⇒ Δ 𝐷

1 ΔB 3 ​

=1,ΔB 2 ​

=0⇒ΔD=+1 𝑘 ∈ { 2 , 4 } k∈{2,4}: Δ 𝐵 3

0 , Δ 𝐵 2

1 ⇒ Δ 𝐷

− 1 ΔB 3 ​

=0,ΔB 2 ​

=1⇒ΔD=−1 𝑘

6 k=6: Δ 𝐵 3

1 , Δ 𝐵 2

1 ⇒ Δ 𝐷

0 ΔB 3 ​

=1,ΔB 2 ​

=1⇒ΔD=0

Step 2: Total balls parity condition. The total number of balls added in a roll is:

𝑘

1 , 3 , 5 k=1,3,5: 3 balls (odd) 𝑘

2 k=2: 2 balls (even) 𝑘

4 k=4: 3 balls (odd) 𝑘

6 k=6: 4 balls (even)

So the total after 4 rolls is odd exactly when the number of rolls that add an odd number of balls is odd. The odd-add rolls are 𝑘 ∈ { 1 , 3 , 4 , 5 } k∈{1,3,4,5}.

Step 3: Categorize the 6 outcomes. Group the outcomes by ( Δ 𝐷 , parity of total balls ) (ΔD,parity of total balls):

P: 𝑘 ∈ { 1 , 3 , 5 } k∈{1,3,5} → Δ 𝐷

1 ΔD=+1, odd total. (3 outcomes) Q: 𝑘

4 k=4 → Δ 𝐷

− 1 ΔD=−1, odd total. (1 outcome) R: 𝑘

2 k=2 → Δ 𝐷

− 1 ΔD=−1, even total. (1 outcome) S: 𝑘

6 k=6 → Δ 𝐷

0 ΔD=0, even total. (1 outcome)

Let 𝑎 , 𝑏 , 𝑐 , 𝑑 a,b,c,d be the number of rolls (out of 4) that fall into P, Q, R, S respectively. Then:

𝐷

𝑎 − 𝑏 − 𝑐 D=a−b−c Number of odd-total rolls = 𝑎 + 𝑏 a+b. The condition “total odd” means 𝑎 + 𝑏 a+b is odd.

We need 𝐷

1 D=1 (box 3 has exactly one more ball than box 2) and 𝑎 + 𝑏 a+b odd, with 𝑎 + 𝑏 + 𝑐 + 𝑑

4 a+b+c+d=4.

Step 4: Find all valid ( 𝑎 , 𝑏 , 𝑐 , 𝑑 ) (a,b,c,d). From 𝐷

1 D=1: 𝑐

𝑎 − 𝑏 − 1 c=a−b−1. Since 𝑐 ≥ 0 c≥0, we need 𝑎 ≥ 𝑏 + 1 a≥b+1. Also 𝑐 ≤ 4 − 𝑎 − 𝑏 c≤4−a−b gives 𝑎 ≤ 2 a≤2. So 𝑎 ∈ { 1 , 2 } a∈{1,2}.

𝑎

1 a=1: then 𝑏 ≤ 0 ⇒ 𝑏

0 b≤0⇒b=0, 𝑐

0 c=0, 𝑑

3 d=3. 𝑎 + 𝑏

1 a+b=1 (odd) ✓. 𝑎

2 a=2: 𝑏 ∈ { 0 , 1 } b∈{0,1}. 𝑏

0 b=0: 𝑐

1 c=1, 𝑑

1 d=1. 𝑎 + 𝑏

2 a+b=2 (even) ✗. 𝑏

1 b=1: 𝑐

0 c=0, 𝑑

1 d=1. 𝑎 + 𝑏

3 a+b=3 (odd) ✓.

Thus only two count patterns:

( 𝑎 , 𝑏 , 𝑐 , 𝑑 )

( 1 , 0 , 0 , 3 ) (a,b,c,d)=(1,0,0,3) ( 𝑎 , 𝑏 , 𝑐 , 𝑑 )

( 2 , 1 , 0 , 1 ) (a,b,c,d)=(2,1,0,1)

Step 5: Count sequences and probabilities. Total possible sequences of 4 rolls: 6 4

1296 6 4 =1296. For a given ( 𝑎 , 𝑏 , 𝑐 , 𝑑 ) (a,b,c,d), the number of sequences is 4 ! 𝑎 !   𝑏 !   𝑐 !   𝑑 ! ⋅ 3 𝑎 a!b!c!d! 4! ​

⋅3 a (since P has 3 choices per roll, others have 1).

Case 1: ( 1 , 0 , 0 , 3 ) (1,0,0,3): 4 ! 1 ! 0 ! 0 ! 3 ! ⋅ 3 1

4 ⋅ 3

12 1!0!0!3! 4! ​

⋅3 1 =4⋅3=12 sequences. Case 2: ( 2 , 1 , 0 , 1 ) (2,1,0,1): 4 ! 2 ! 1 ! 0 ! 1 ! ⋅ 3 2

12 ⋅ 9

108 2!1!0!1! 4! ​

⋅3 2 =12⋅9=108 sequences.

Total favorable sequences (with 𝐷

1 D=1 and total odd): 12 + 108

120 12+108=120.

Step 6: Sequences with total odd (condition). Total odd means 𝑎 + 𝑏 a+b is odd. Enumerate all ( 𝑎 , 𝑏 , 𝑐 , 𝑑 ) (a,b,c,d) with 𝑎 + 𝑏 + 𝑐 + 𝑑

4 a+b+c+d=4 and 𝑎 + 𝑏 a+b odd. Possible odd 𝑎 + 𝑏 a+b: 1 or 3.

𝑎 + 𝑏

1 a+b=1: ( 𝑎 , 𝑏 )

( 1 , 0 ) (a,b)=(1,0) or ( 0 , 1 ) (0,1).

( 1 , 0 ) (1,0): 𝑐 + 𝑑

3 c+d=3. 𝑐 c can be 0,1,2,3. For each, sequences = 4 ! 1 ! 0 ! 𝑐 ! 𝑑 ! ⋅ 3 1 1!0!c!d! 4! ​

⋅3 1 . 𝑐

0 , 𝑑

3 c=0,d=3: 4 ! 1 ! 0 ! 0 ! 3 ! ⋅ 3

4 ⋅ 3

12 1!0!0!3! 4! ​

⋅3=4⋅3=12 𝑐

1 , 𝑑

2 c=1,d=2: 4 ! 1 ! 0 ! 1 ! 2 ! ⋅ 3

12 ⋅ 3

36 1!0!1!2! 4! ​

⋅3=12⋅3=36 𝑐

2 , 𝑑

1 c=2,d=1: 4 ! 1 ! 0 ! 2 ! 1 ! ⋅ 3

12 ⋅ 3

36 1!0!2!1! 4! ​

⋅3=12⋅3=36 𝑐

3 , 𝑑

0 c=3,d=0: 4 ! 1 ! 0 ! 3 ! 0 ! ⋅ 3

4 ⋅ 3

12 1!0!3!0! 4! ​

⋅3=4⋅3=12 Sum = 12 + 36 + 36 + 12

96 12+36+36+12=96. ( 0 , 1 ) (0,1): 𝑐 + 𝑑

3 c+d=3. Sequences = 4 ! 0 ! 1 ! 𝑐 ! 𝑑 ! ⋅ 3 0

4 ! 1 ! 𝑐 ! 𝑑 ! 0!1!c!d! 4! ​

⋅3 0

1!c!d! 4! ​

. 𝑐

0 , 𝑑

3 c=0,d=3: 4 4 𝑐

1 , 𝑑

2 c=1,d=2: 12 12 𝑐

2 , 𝑑

1 c=2,d=1: 12 12 𝑐

3 , 𝑑

0 c=3,d=0: 4 4 Sum = 4 + 12 + 12 + 4

32 4+12+12+4=32. Total for 𝑎 + 𝑏

1 a+b=1: 96 + 32

128 96+32=128.

𝑎 + 𝑏

3 a+b=3: ( 𝑎 , 𝑏 )

( 3 , 0 ) , ( 2 , 1 ) , ( 1 , 2 ) , ( 0 , 3 ) (a,b)=(3,0),(2,1),(1,2),(0,3).

( 3 , 0 ) (3,0): 𝑐 + 𝑑

1 c+d=1. Sequences = 4 ! 3 ! 0 ! 𝑐 ! 𝑑 ! ⋅ 3 3

4 ⋅ 27

108 3!0!c!d! 4! ​

⋅3 3 =4⋅27=108 for 𝑐

0 , 𝑑

1 c=0,d=1; and 𝑐

1 , 𝑑

0 c=1,d=0: 4 ⋅ 27

108 4⋅27=108. Sum = 216. ( 2 , 1 ) (2,1): 𝑐 + 𝑑

1 c+d=1. Sequences = 4 ! 2 ! 1 ! 𝑐 ! 𝑑 ! ⋅ 3 2

12 ⋅ 9

108 2!1!c!d! 4! ​

⋅3 2 =12⋅9=108 for each 𝑐 , 𝑑 c,d. Sum = 216. ( 1 , 2 ) (1,2): 𝑐 + 𝑑

1 c+d=1. Sequences = 4 ! 1 ! 2 ! 𝑐 ! 𝑑 ! ⋅ 3 1

12 ⋅ 3

36 1!2!c!d! 4! ​

⋅3 1 =12⋅3=36 for each. Sum = 72. ( 0 , 3 ) (0,3): 𝑐 + 𝑑

1 c+d=1. Sequences = 4 ! 0 ! 3 ! 𝑐 ! 𝑑 ! ⋅ 3 0

4 0!3!c!d! 4! ​

⋅3 0 =4 for each. Sum = 8. Total for 𝑎 + 𝑏

3 a+b=3: 216 + 216 + 72 + 8

512 216+216+72+8=512.

Total sequences with total odd: 128 + 512

640 128+512=640.

Step 7: Conditional probability.

𝑃 ( 𝐷

1 ∣ total odd )

120 640

3 16 . P(D=1∣total odd)= 640 120 ​

= 16 3 ​

.

The answer is 3 16 16 3 ​

.

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Final Model Output
No final answer recorded

Comparative Analysis (P27) (Average across runs)

Averages use reported measurements only. Missing usage is not treated as zero.

Avg Time Taken

Kimi K3
111.0
Motif 3
75.7
Solar Pro 4
71.8
K-EXAONE-2
15.4

Avg Token Usage

K-EXAONE-2
3693.3
Kimi K3
3460.7
Solar Pro 4
3409.3
    CSAT 2026 · Problem 27 · Motif 3 | EntropyMath