Problem Analysis #35

6.35s
2,962 toks
Problem Statement

A population is normally distributed with mean mm and standard deviation 55. From this population, a random sample of size 3636 is taken, and a 99%99\% confidence interval for the population mean mm is constructed using the sample mean. The resulting confidence interval is 1.2 $$\leq$$ m $$\leq$$ a. Find the value of aa. (Here, ZZ denotes a standard normal random variable, and use P(Z2.58)=0.99\text{P}(|Z| \leq 2.58) = 0.99.) [3 points]Compute 10a10a.\

Ground Truth
55
Execution Trace
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] We need to find a, the upper endpoint of the 99% confidence interval for m, given that the interval is 1.2 ≤ m ≤ a. The population standard deviation σ = 5, sample size n = 36, so the standard error = σ/√n = 5/√36 = 5/6 ≈ 0.833333... The confidence interval for the mean m is given by: sample mean ± z* × (σ/√n), where z* is the critical value for 99% confidence: given P(|Z| ≤ 2.58) = 0.99, so z* = 2.58.

The interval is (sample mean - 2.58*(5/6), sample mean + 2.58*(5/6)). The lower bound is given as 1.2, so: sample mean - 2.58*(5/6) = 1.2 → sample mean = 1.2 + 2.58*(5/6).

Then the upper bound a = sample mean + 2.58*(5/6) = (1.2 + 2.58*(5/6)) + 2.58*(5/6) = 1.2 + 2 * 2.58 * (5/6).

Compute 2 * 2.58 * (5/6) = (2 * 2.58 * 5) / 6 = (25.8) / 6 = 4.3. Then a = 1.2 + 4.3 = 5.5.

But we must compute 10a = 10 * 5.5 = 55.

Let's verify with Python.

[/PYTHON] [PYTHON] import math

given

sigma = 5 n = 36 z_star = 2.58

se = sigma / math.sqrt(n) margin = z_star * se lower = 1.2

sample_mean = lower + margin a = sample_mean + margin ten_a = 10 * a

print("se =", se) print("margin =", margin) print("sample_mean =", sample_mean) print("a =", a) print("10a =", ten_a) [/PYTHON]

Tool Output
[PYTHON OUTPUT] se = 0.8333333333333334 margin = 2.1500000000000004 sample_mean = 3.3500000000000005 a = 5.500000000000001 10a = 55.00000000000001 [/PYTHON OUTPUT]
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] The Python output shows a = 5.500000000000001 and 10a = 55.00000000000001. The problem asks to compute 10a, and the exact value is 55. Since the confidence interval is constructed from the sample mean and margin of error, and the given lower bound is 1.2, the calculation yields a = 5.5 exactly (within floating-point precision). Thus 10a = 55. The final answer should be the integer digits 55.

\boxed{55}

Final Model Output
55

Comparative Analysis (P35) (Average across runs)

Avg Time Taken

EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
636.4
K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
109.6
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
80.1
HCX-007(high)
49.6
Deepseek-V3.2
47.8
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking
46.1
Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
24.4
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking-2601
22.1
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
16.4
Solar-Open-100B
14.7
Claude-Opus-4.5
13.8
A.X-4.0 (72B)
13.8
Grok-4.1-fast
10.6
GPT-5.1 (high)
7.8
GPT-5.2 (high)
7.1
K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
6.3
axk1
5.3

Avg Token Usage

K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
12258.7
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking
9114.0
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking-2601
6663.5
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
6041.0
HCX-007(high)
5122.0
Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
4633.0
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
4521.0
Solar-Open-100B
4423.0
Grok-4.1-fast
4352.0
A.X-4.0 (72B)
3481.0
Claude-Opus-4.5
3452.0
GPT-5.2 (high)
3014.0
K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
2962.0
Deepseek-V3.2
2931.0
axk1
2540.0
GPT-5.1 (high)
2481.0
EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
1752.0