Problem Analysis #11

16.08s
4,549 toks
Problem Statement

Three students S1S_1, S2S_2, and S3S_3 are given a problem to solve. Consider the following events:AA: At least one of S1S_1, S2S_2, and S3S_3 can solve the problem,BB: S1S_1 can solve the problem, given that neither S2S_2 nor S3S_3 can solve the problem,CC: S2S_2 can solve the problem and S3S_3 cannot solve the problem,DD: S3S_3 can solve the problem.For any event EE, let P(E)P(E) denote the probability of EE. IfP(B)=12,P(C)=110,andP(D)=112,P(B) = \frac{1}{2}, \quad P(C) = \frac{1}{10}, \quad \text{and} \quad P(D) = \frac{1}{12},and P(A)=pqP(A) = \dfrac{p}{q} where pp and qq are coprime positive integers, find the value of p2+q2p^2 + q^2.\

Ground Truth
19441
Execution Trace
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] Let me carefully parse the problem. We have three students S1S_1, S2S_2, S3S_3 trying to solve a problem.

Let me define:

  • p1p_1 = probability that S1S_1 can solve the problem
  • p2p_2 = probability that S2S_2 can solve the problem
  • p3p_3 = probability that S3S_3 can solve the problem

I'll assume the students solve the problem independently.

Event BB: "S1S_1 can solve the problem, given that neither S2S_2 nor S3S_3 can solve the problem" This is a conditional probability: P(B)=P(S1 solvesS2 doesn’t solve and S3 doesn’t solve)P(B) = P(S_1 \text{ solves} | S_2 \text{ doesn't solve and } S_3 \text{ doesn't solve})

If the events are independent, then P(S1 solvesS2 doesn’t and S3 doesn’t)=P(S1 solves)=p1P(S_1 \text{ solves} | S_2 \text{ doesn't and } S_3 \text{ doesn't}) = P(S_1 \text{ solves}) = p_1

So P(B)=p1=12P(B) = p_1 = \frac{1}{2}

Event CC: "S2S_2 can solve the problem and S3S_3 cannot solve the problem" P(C)=P(S2 solves and S3 doesn’t)=p2(1p3)=110P(C) = P(S_2 \text{ solves and } S_3 \text{ doesn't}) = p_2 \cdot (1 - p_3) = \frac{1}{10}

Event DD: "S3S_3 can solve the problem" P(D)=p3=112P(D) = p_3 = \frac{1}{12}

Now I can find p2p_2: p2(1p3)=110p_2 \cdot (1 - p_3) = \frac{1}{10} p2(1112)=110p_2 \cdot (1 - \frac{1}{12}) = \frac{1}{10} p21112=110p_2 \cdot \frac{11}{12} = \frac{1}{10} p2=12110=655p_2 = \frac{12}{110} = \frac{6}{55}

Event AA: "At least one of S1S_1, S2S_2, S3S_3 can solve the problem" P(A)=1P(none can solve)=1(1p1)(1p2)(1p3)P(A) = 1 - P(\text{none can solve}) = 1 - (1-p_1)(1-p_2)(1-p_3)

Let me calculate this. [/THOUGHT] [PYTHON] from fractions import Fraction

Given values

p1 = Fraction(1, 2) p3 = Fraction(1, 12)

From P(C) = p2 * (1 - p3) = 1/10

p2 * (1 - 1/12) = 1/10

p2 * (11/12) = 1/10

p2 = 12/(11*10) = 12/110 = 6/55

p2 = Fraction(1, 10) / (1 - p3) print(f"p1 = {p1}") print(f"p2 = {p2}") print(f"p3 = {p3}")

P(A) = 1 - (1-p1)(1-p2)(1-p3)

P_A = 1 - (1 - p1) * (1 - p2) * (1 - p3) print(f"P(A) = {P_A}")

Check if p and q are coprime

p = P_A.numerator q = P_A.denominator print(f"p = {p}, q = {q}")

import math gcd = math.gcd(p, q) print(f"gcd(p, q) = {gcd}")

Calculate p^2 + q^2

result = p2 + q2 print(f"p^2 + q^2 = {result}") [/PYTHON]

Tool Output
[PYTHON OUTPUT] p1 = 1/2 p2 = 6/55 p3 = 1/12 P(A) = 71/120 p = 71, q = 120 gcd(p, q) = 1 p^2 + q^2 = 19441 [/PYTHON OUTPUT]
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] The calculation confirms that:

  • p1=12p_1 = \frac{1}{2}
  • p2=655p_2 = \frac{6}{55}
  • p3=112p_3 = \frac{1}{12}

And P(A)=1(1p1)(1p2)(1p3)=71120P(A) = 1 - (1-p_1)(1-p_2)(1-p_3) = \frac{71}{120}

Since gcd(71,120)=1\gcd(71, 120) = 1, we have p=71p = 71 and q=120q = 120 are coprime.

Therefore, p2+q2=712+1202=5041+14400=19441p^2 + q^2 = 71^2 + 120^2 = 5041 + 14400 = 19441 [/THOUGHT]

\boxed{19441}

Final Model Output
19441

Comparative Analysis (P11) (Average across runs)

Avg Time Taken

Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
228.5
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
51.6
Deepseek-V3.2
43.4
HCX-007(high)
39.0
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
33.7
A.X-4.0 (72B)
26.7
GPT-5.1 (high)
18.1
Grok-4.1-fast
18.1
Claude-Opus-4.5
16.1
EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
5.8

Avg Token Usage

Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
10703.0
Grok-4.1-fast
8474.0
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
6509.0
A.X-4.0 (72B)
5008.0
Deepseek-V3.2
4986.0
HCX-007(high)
4852.0
EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
4557.0
Claude-Opus-4.5
4549.0
GPT-5.1 (high)
3536.0
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
2394.0