Problem Analysis #35

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Problem Statement

A population is normally distributed with mean mm and standard deviation 55. From this population, a random sample of size 3636 is taken, and a 99%99\% confidence interval for the population mean mm is constructed using the sample mean. The resulting confidence interval is 1.2 $$\leq$$ m $$\leq$$ a. Find the value of aa. (Here, ZZ denotes a standard normal random variable, and use P(Z2.58)=0.99\text{P}(|Z| \leq 2.58) = 0.99.) [3 points]Compute 10a10a.\

Ground Truth
55
Execution Trace
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] Let me solve this step by step.

For a confidence interval for the population mean when the population standard deviation is known:

  • Population standard deviation σ = 5
  • Sample size n = 36
  • Confidence level = 99%
  • z-value for 99% confidence = 2.58 (given that P(|Z| ≤ 2.58) = 0.99)

The confidence interval formula is: xˉzα/2σnmxˉ+zα/2σn\bar{x} - z_{\alpha/2} \cdot \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \leq m \leq \bar{x} + z_{\alpha/2} \cdot \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}

The margin of error E = z × (σ/√n) = 2.58 × (5/√36) = 2.58 × (5/6)

Given that the lower bound is 1.2, and the upper bound is a:

  • Lower bound = x̄ - E = 1.2
  • Upper bound = x̄ + E = a

The confidence interval is symmetric around the sample mean, so:

  • x̄ = (1.2 + a) / 2
  • E = (a - 1.2) / 2

Also, E = 2.58 × (5/6)

So: (a - 1.2) / 2 = 2.58 × (5/6)

Let me calculate this. [/THOUGHT] [PYTHON] import math

Given values

sigma = 5 # population standard deviation n = 36 # sample size z = 2.58 # z-value for 99% confidence

Calculate margin of error

E = z * (sigma / math.sqrt(n)) print(f"Margin of error E = {E}")

Given lower bound is 1.2

lower_bound = 1.2

The sample mean is at the center of the interval

lower_bound = x_bar - E

So x_bar = lower_bound + E

x_bar = lower_bound + E print(f"Sample mean x_bar = {x_bar}")

Upper bound a = x_bar + E

a = x_bar + E print(f"Upper bound a = {a}")

Calculate 10a

result = 10 * a print(f"10a = {result}") [/PYTHON]

Tool Output
[PYTHON OUTPUT] Margin of error E = 2.1500000000000004 Sample mean x_bar = 3.3500000000000005 Upper bound a = 5.500000000000001 10a = 55.00000000000001 [/PYTHON OUTPUT]
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] The calculation is complete. Let me verify:

  • Margin of error E = 2.58 × (5/6) = 2.15
  • Lower bound = 1.2
  • Sample mean x̄ = 1.2 + 2.15 = 3.35
  • Upper bound a = 3.35 + 2.15 = 5.5

Therefore, a = 5.5 and 10a = 55. [/THOUGHT]

\boxed{55}

Final Model Output
55

Comparative Analysis (P35) (Average across runs)

Avg Time Taken

EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
636.4
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
80.1
HCX-007(high)
49.6
Deepseek-V3.2
47.8
Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
24.4
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
16.4
Claude-Opus-4.5
13.8
A.X-4.0 (72B)
13.8
Grok-4.1-fast
10.6
GPT-5.1 (high)
7.8

Avg Token Usage

Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
6041.0
HCX-007(high)
5122.0
Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
4633.0
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
4521.0
Grok-4.1-fast
4352.0
A.X-4.0 (72B)
3481.0
Claude-Opus-4.5
3452.0
Deepseek-V3.2
2931.0
GPT-5.1 (high)
2481.0
EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
1752.0