Problem Analysis #11

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5,008 toks
Problem Statement

Three students S1S_1, S2S_2, and S3S_3 are given a problem to solve. Consider the following events:AA: At least one of S1S_1, S2S_2, and S3S_3 can solve the problem,BB: S1S_1 can solve the problem, given that neither S2S_2 nor S3S_3 can solve the problem,CC: S2S_2 can solve the problem and S3S_3 cannot solve the problem,DD: S3S_3 can solve the problem.For any event EE, let P(E)P(E) denote the probability of EE. IfP(B)=12,P(C)=110,andP(D)=112,P(B) = \frac{1}{2}, \quad P(C) = \frac{1}{10}, \quad \text{and} \quad P(D) = \frac{1}{12},and P(A)=pqP(A) = \dfrac{p}{q} where pp and qq are coprime positive integers, find the value of p2+q2p^2 + q^2.\

Ground Truth
19441
Execution Trace
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] To find ( P(A) ), we need to calculate the probability that at least one of the three students can solve the problem. Let ( p_1 = P(S_1) ), ( p_2 = P(S_2) ), and ( p_3 = P(S_3) ) be the probabilities that students ( S_1 ), ( S_2 ), and ( S_3 ) can solve the problem, respectively.

Given probabilities:

  • ( P(B) = P(S_1 \mid \overline{S_2} \cap \overline{S_3}) = \frac{1}{2} )
  • ( P(C) = P(S_2 \cap \overline{S_3}) = \frac{1}{10} )
  • ( P(D) = P(S_3) = \frac{1}{12} )

From ( P(D) = \frac{1}{12} ), we directly have: [ p_3 = \frac{1}{12} ]

For ( P(C) = \frac{1}{10} ): [ P(S_2 \cap \overline{S_3}) = p_2 (1 - p_3) = \frac{1}{10} ] Substitute ( p_3 = \frac{1}{12} ): [ p_2 \left(1 - \frac{1}{12}\right) = \frac{1}{10} ] [ p_2 \left(\frac{11}{12}\right) = \frac{1}{10} ] [ p_2 = \frac{1}{10} \times \frac{12}{11} = \frac{6}{55} ]

For ( P(B) = \frac{1}{2} ): [ P(S_1 \mid \overline{S_2} \cap \overline{S_3}) = \frac{P(S_1 \cap \overline{S_2} \cap \overline{S_3})}{P(\overline{S_2} \cap \overline{S_3})} = \frac{1}{2} ] First, calculate ( P(\overline{S_2} \cap \overline{S_3}) ): [ P(\overline{S_2}) = 1 - p_2 = 1 - \frac{6}{55} = \frac{49}{55} ] [ P(\overline{S_3}) = 1 - p_3 = 1 - \frac{1}{12} = \frac{11}{12} ] [ P(\overline{S_2} \cap \overline{S_3}) = \frac{49}{55} \times \frac{11}{12} = \frac{539}{660} ]

Now, use ( P(B) = \frac{1}{2} ): [ \frac{P(S_1 \cap \overline{S_2} \cap \overline{S_3})}{\frac{539}{660}} = \frac{1}{2} ] [ P(S_1 \cap \overline{S_2} \cap \overline{S_3}) = \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{539}{660} = \frac{539}{1320} ]

Since ( S_1 ), ( S_2 ), and ( S_3 ) solve the problem independently: [ P(S_1 \cap \overline{S_2} \cap \overline{S_3}) = p_1 \left(1 - p_2\right) \left(1 - p_3\right) = \frac{539}{1320} ] Substitute ( p_2 = \frac{6}{55} ) and ( p_3 = \frac{1}{12} ): [ p_1 \left(\frac{49}{55}\right) \left(\frac{11}{12}\right) = \frac{539}{1320} ] [ p_1 \times \frac{539}{660} = \frac{539}{1320} ] [ p_1 = \frac{539}{1320} \times \frac{660}{539} = \frac{1}{2} ]

Now, calculate ( P(A) ), the probability that at least one of the students can solve the problem: [ P(A) = 1 - P(\overline{S_1} \cap \overline{S_2} \cap \overline{S_3}) ] [ P(\overline{S_1}) = 1 - p_1 = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2} ] [ P(\overline{S_2}) = \frac{49}{55} ] [ P(\overline{S_3}) = \frac{11}{12} ] [ P(\overline{S_1} \cap \overline{S_2} \cap \overline{S_3}) = \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{49}{55} \times \frac{11}{12} = \frac{539}{1320} ] [ P(A) = 1 - \frac{539}{1320} = \frac{1320 - 539}{1320} = \frac{781}{1320} ]

We need to simplify ( \frac{781}{1320} ): The greatest common divisor (GCD) of 781 and 1320 is 1, so the fraction is already in simplest form. Therefore, ( p = 781 ) and ( q = 1320 ).

Finally, calculate ( p^2 + q^2 ): [ p^2 + q^2 = 781^2 + 1320^2 ] We will use Python to ensure the arithmetic is correct. [/THOUGHT] [PYTHON] p = 781 q = 1320 result = p2 + q2 print(result)

Tool Output
[PYTHON OUTPUT] 2352361 [/PYTHON OUTPUT]
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] Based on the Python output, the value of ( p^2 + q^2 ) is 2352361. Therefore, the final answer is: \boxed{2352361}

Final Model Output
2352361

Comparative Analysis (P11) (Average across runs)

Avg Time Taken

Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
228.5
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
51.6
Deepseek-V3.2
43.4
HCX-007(high)
39.0
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
33.7
A.X-4.0 (72B)
26.7
GPT-5.1 (high)
18.1
Grok-4.1-fast
18.1
Claude-Opus-4.5
16.1
EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
5.8

Avg Token Usage

Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
10703.0
Grok-4.1-fast
8474.0
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
6509.0
A.X-4.0 (72B)
5008.0
Deepseek-V3.2
4986.0
HCX-007(high)
4852.0
EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
4557.0
Claude-Opus-4.5
4549.0
GPT-5.1 (high)
3536.0
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
2394.0