Problem Analysis #36

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Problem Statement

A discrete random variable XX takes integer values from 00 to 44, and its probability mass function is given byP(X=x)={2x112(x=0,1,2,3),a(x=4),\text{P}(X = x) = \begin{cases}\dfrac{|2x - 1|}{12} & (x = 0, 1, 2, 3), \\[4pt]a & (x = 4),\end{cases}where aa is a nonzero constant. ComputeV(1aX).\text{V}\left(\dfrac{1}{a}X\right).[3 points]\

Ground Truth
45
Execution Trace
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] The first step is to determine the value of (a). The sum of all probabilities must equal 1. Therefore: [ \text{P}(X=0) + \text{P}(X=1) + \text{P}(X=2) + \text{P}(X=3) + \text{P}(X=4) = 1 ] Substitute the given probabilities: [ \frac{|2(0) - 1|}{12} + \frac{|2(1) - 1|}{12} + \frac{|2(2) - 1|}{12} + \frac{|2(3) - 1|}{12} + a = 1 ] Calculate the absolute values: [ \frac{1}{12} + \frac{1}{12} + \frac{3}{12} + \frac{5}{12} + a = 1 ] Simplify the fractions: [ \frac{1 + 1 + 3 + 5}{12} + a = 1 ] [ \frac{10}{12} + a = 1 ] [ \frac{5}{6} + a = 1 ] Solve for (a): [ a = 1 - \frac{5}{6} ] [ a = \frac{1}{6} ]

Now that (a) is determined, the next step is to find (\text{E}(X)) and (\text{E}(X^2)).

Calculate (\text{E}(X)): [ \text{E}(X) = \sum_{x=0}^{4} x \cdot \text{P}(X=x) ] Substitute the probabilities: [ \text{E}(X) = 0 \cdot \frac{1}{12} + 1 \cdot \frac{1}{12} + 2 \cdot \frac{3}{12} + 3 \cdot \frac{5}{12} + 4 \cdot \frac{1}{6} ] [ \text{E}(X) = 0 + \frac{1}{12} + \frac{6}{12} + \frac{15}{12} + \frac{8}{12} ] [ \text{E}(X) = \frac{1 + 6 + 15 + 8}{12} ] [ \text{E}(X) = \frac{30}{12} ] [ \text{E}(X) = \frac{5}{2} ]

Calculate (\text{E}(X^2)): [ \text{E}(X^2) = \sum_{x=0}^{4} x^2 \cdot \text{P}(X=x) ] Substitute the probabilities: [ \text{E}(X^2) = 0^2 \cdot \frac{1}{12} + 1^2 \cdot \frac{1}{12} + 2^2 \cdot \frac{3}{12} + 3^2 \cdot \frac{5}{12} + 4^2 \cdot \frac{1}{6} ] [ \text{E}(X^2) = 0 + \frac{1}{12} + \frac{12}{12} + \frac{45}{12} + \frac{16}{6} ] Convert (\frac{16}{6}) to a fraction with denominator 12: [ \text{E}(X^2) = 0 + \frac{1}{12} + \frac{12}{12} + \frac{45}{12} + \frac{32}{12} ] [ \text{E}(X^2) = \frac{1 + 12 + 45 + 32}{12} ] [ \text{E}(X^2) = \frac{90}{12} ] [ \text{E}(X^2) = \frac{15}{2} ]

Now, find the variance of (X): [ \text{Var}(X) = \text{E}(X^2) - (\text{E}(X))^2 ] [ \text{Var}(X) = \frac{15}{2} - \left(\frac{5}{2}\right)^2 ] [ \text{Var}(X) = \frac{15}{2} - \frac{25}{4} ] Convert (\frac{15}{2}) to a fraction with denominator 4: [ \text{Var}(X) = \frac{30}{4} - \frac{25}{4} ] [ \text{Var}(X) = \frac{5}{4} ]

Finally, find (\text{V}\left(\frac{1}{a}X\right)): [ \text{V}\left(\frac{1}{a}X\right) = \left(\frac{1}{a}\right)^2 \text{Var}(X) ] Substitute (a = \frac{1}{6}) and (\text{Var}(X) = \frac{5}{4}): [ \text{V}\left(\frac{1}{a}X\right) = \left(\frac{1}{\frac{1}{6}}\right)^2 \cdot \frac{5}{4} ] [ \text{V}\left(\frac{1}{a}X\right) = 6^2 \cdot \frac{5}{4} ] [ \text{V}\left(\frac{1}{a}X\right) = 36 \cdot \frac{5}{4} ] [ \text{V}\left(\frac{1}{a}X\right) = 45 ]

Therefore, the variance is: [ \boxed{45} ] [/THOUGHT]

Final Model Output
45

Comparative Analysis (P36) (Average across runs)

Avg Time Taken

Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
684.4
EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
193.2
Deepseek-V3.2
67.4
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
62.2
HCX-007(high)
36.9
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
34.2
A.X-4.0 (72B)
25.7
Claude-Opus-4.5
14.8
Grok-4.1-fast
9.0
GPT-5.1 (high)
8.3

Avg Token Usage

EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
43263.0
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
6659.0
Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
5840.0
HCX-007(high)
4585.0
Grok-4.1-fast
3971.0
Claude-Opus-4.5
3958.0
Deepseek-V3.2
3770.0
GPT-5.1 (high)
2953.0
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
2843.0
A.X-4.0 (72B)
2312.0