Problem Analysis #35

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Problem Statement

A population is normally distributed with mean mm and standard deviation 55. From this population, a random sample of size 3636 is taken, and a 99%99\% confidence interval for the population mean mm is constructed using the sample mean. The resulting confidence interval is 1.2 $$\leq$$ m $$\leq$$ a. Find the value of aa. (Here, ZZ denotes a standard normal random variable, and use P(Z2.58)=0.99\text{P}(|Z| \leq 2.58) = 0.99.) [3 points]Compute 10a10a.\

Ground Truth
55
Execution Trace
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] To find the value of ( a ) in the confidence interval ( 1.2 \leq m \leq a ), we follow these steps:

  1. Understand the Confidence Interval Formula: The confidence interval for the population mean ( m ) is given by: [ \text{Sample Mean} \pm Z_{\alpha/2} \cdot \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} ] where:

    • ( Z_{\alpha/2} = 2.58 ) (since ( P(|Z| \leq 2.58) = 0.99 )),
    • ( \sigma = 5 ) (standard deviation),
    • ( n = 36 ) (sample size).
  2. Calculate the Margin of Error: [ \text{Margin of Error} = Z_{\alpha/2} \cdot \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = 2.58 \cdot \frac{5}{6} = \frac{12.9}{6} = 2.15 ]

  3. Determine the Sample Mean: The confidence interval is symmetric around the sample mean. Given the lower bound ( 1.2 ), we can find the sample mean (( \bar{x} )) as: [ \bar{x} - 2.15 = 1.2 \implies \bar{x} = 1.2 + 2.15 = 3.35 ]

  4. Find the Upper Bound ( a ): The upper bound is calculated as: [ a = \bar{x} + 2.15 = 3.35 + 2.15 = 5.5 ]

  5. Compute ( 10a ): [ 10a = 10 \times 5.5 = 55 ]

[PYTHON]

# Given values
Z_alpha_2 = 2.58
sigma = 5
n = 36
lower_bound = 1.2
margin_of_error = Z_alpha_2 * sigma / (n ** 0.5)
sample_mean = lower_bound + margin_of_error
a = sample_mean + margin_of_error
result = int(10 * a)
print(result)
Tool Output
[PYTHON OUTPUT] 55 [/PYTHON OUTPUT]
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT]
The value of ( 10a ) is confirmed to be 55 based on the calculations and verified by Python execution.

\boxed{55}

Final Model Output
55

Comparative Analysis (P35) (Average across runs)

Avg Time Taken

EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
636.4
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
80.1
HCX-007(high)
49.6
Deepseek-V3.2
47.8
Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
24.4
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
16.4
Claude-Opus-4.5
13.8
A.X-4.0 (72B)
13.8
Grok-4.1-fast
10.6
GPT-5.1 (high)
7.8

Avg Token Usage

Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
6041.0
HCX-007(high)
5122.0
Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
4633.0
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
4521.0
Grok-4.1-fast
4352.0
A.X-4.0 (72B)
3481.0
Claude-Opus-4.5
3452.0
Deepseek-V3.2
2931.0
GPT-5.1 (high)
2481.0
EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
1752.0