Problem Statement
A discrete random variable takes integer values from to , and its probability mass function is given by
where is a nonzero constant. Compute
[3 points]\
Ground Truth
45
Execution Trace
Reasoning Process
[PYTHON] from fractions import Fraction
def solve_variance(): # Define probabilities for x = 0, 1, 2, 3 # P(X=x) = |2x - 1| / 12 probs = {} sum_p_first_four = 0 for x in range(4): p = Fraction(abs(2*x - 1), 12) probs[x] = p sum_p_first_four += p
# Calculate a
# Sum of all probs is 1
# sum_p_first_four + a = 1
a = 1 - sum_p_first_four
probs[4] = a
print(f"a = {a}")
print(f"Probabilities: {probs}")
# Calculate E[X]
expected_value = sum(x * probs[x] for x in probs)
print(f"E[X] = {expected_value}")
# Calculate E[X^2]
expected_value_sq = sum((x**2) * probs[x] for x in probs)
print(f"E[X^2] = {expected_value_sq}")
# Calculate V(X)
variance_x = expected_value_sq - expected_value**2
print(f"V(X) = {variance_x}")
# Calculate V((1/a)X) = (1/a)^2 * V(X)
# Since a is a Fraction, we can do this directly
target_variance = (1/a)**2 * variance_x
print(f"V((1/a)X) = {target_variance}")
return target_variance
result = solve_variance() print(f"Result: {result}") [/PYTHON]
Tool Output
[PYTHON OUTPUT]
a = 1/6
Probabilities: {0: Fraction(1, 12), 1: Fraction(1, 12), 2: Fraction(1, 4), 3: Fraction(5, 12), 4: Fraction(1, 6)}
E[X] = 5/2
E[X^2] = 15/2
V(X) = 5/4
V((1/a)X) = 45
Result: 45
[/PYTHON OUTPUT]
Reasoning Process
The probability mass function is defined as:
First, we calculate the probabilities for :
The sum of these probabilities is . Since the total probability must sum to 1, we have:
Next, we calculate the expected value and :
The variance of is:
We need to compute . Since , . Using the property :
Final Model Output
45
Comparative Analysis (P36) (Average across runs)
Avg Time Taken
Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
684.4
Solar-Open-100B
623.1
K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
454.7
EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
193.2
Deepseek-V3.2
67.4
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
62.2
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking
54.1
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking-2601
44.8
HCX-007(high)
36.9
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
34.2
A.X-4.0 (72B)
25.7
Claude-Opus-4.5
14.8
Grok-4.1-fast
9.0
K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
8.8
GPT-5.1 (high)
8.3
GPT-5.2 (high)
7.3
Avg Token Usage
K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
97,464
EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
43,263
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking-2601
15,983
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking
10,007
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
6,659
Solar-Open-100B
5,881
Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
5,840
HCX-007(high)
4,585
Grok-4.1-fast
3,971
Claude-Opus-4.5
3,958
Deepseek-V3.2
3,770
K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
3,020
GPT-5.1 (high)
2,953
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
2,843
GPT-5.2 (high)
2,716
A.X-4.0 (72B)
2,312