Problem Analysis #36

55.58s
24,262 toks
Problem Statement

A discrete random variable XX takes integer values from 00 to 44, and its probability mass function is given byP(X=x)={2x112(x=0,1,2,3),a(x=4),\text{P}(X = x) = \begin{cases}\dfrac{|2x - 1|}{12} & (x = 0, 1, 2, 3), \\[4pt]a & (x = 4),\end{cases}where aa is a nonzero constant. ComputeV(1aX).\text{V}\left(\dfrac{1}{a}X\right).[3 points]\

Ground Truth
45
Execution Trace
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] We are given a discrete random variable XX with a probability mass function defined for x=0,1,2,3x=0,1,2,3 and x=4x=4. The probability for x=4x=4 is aa, and we need to compute V(1aX)\text{V}\left(\dfrac{1}{a}X\right).

First, we find the value of aa by normalizing the probabilities. The probabilities for x=0,1,2,3x=0,1,2,3 are:

  • x=0x=0: P(X=0)=201/12=1/12P(X=0) = |2\cdot0 - 1|/12 = 1/12
  • x=1x=1: P(X=1)=211/12=1/12P(X=1) = |2\cdot1 - 1|/12 = 1/12
  • x=2x=2: P(X=2)=41/12=3/12=1/4P(X=2) = |4-1|/12 = 3/12 = 1/4
  • x=3x=3: P(X=3)=61/12=5/12P(X=3) = |6-1|/12 = 5/12

The sum of these probabilities is: [ \frac{1}{12} + \frac{1}{12} + \frac{1}{4} + \frac{5}{12} = \frac{1 + 1 + 3 + 5}{12} = \frac{10}{12} = \frac{5}{6} ] Since the total probability must be 1, the probability for x=4x=4 is: [ a = 1 - \frac{5}{6} = \frac{1}{6} ]

The variance of a scaled random variable is V(cX)=c2V(X)\text{V}(cX) = c^2 \text{V}(X). Here, c=1/ac = 1/a, so: [ \text{V}\left(\frac{X}{a}\right) = \left(\frac{1}{a}\right)^2 \text{V}(X) = \frac{1}{a^2} \text{V}(X) ] With a=1/6a = 1/6, we have a2=(1/6)2=1/36a^2 = (1/6)^2 = 1/36, so: [ \text{V}\left(\frac{X}{a}\right) = \frac{1}{1/36} \text{V}(X) = 36 \text{V}(X) ]

Next, we compute the variance of XX using V(X)=E[X2](E[X])2\text{V}(X) = E[X^2] - (E[X])^2.

First, compute E[X]E[X]: [ E[X] = \sum x \cdot P(X=x) = 0 \cdot \frac{1}{12} + 1 \cdot \frac{1}{12} + 2 \cdot \frac{3}{12} + 3 \cdot \frac{5}{12} + 4 \cdot \frac{2}{12} ] [ = 0 + \frac{1}{12} + \frac{6}{12} + \frac{15}{12} + \frac{8}{12} = \frac{1+6+15+8}{12} = \frac{30}{12} = \frac{5}{2} ]

Next, compute E[X2]E[X^2]: [ E[X^2] = \sum x^2 \cdot P(X=x) = 0^2 \cdot \frac{1}{12} + 1^2 \cdot \frac{1}{12} + 2^2 \cdot \frac{3}{12} + 3^2 \cdot \frac{5}{12} + 4^2 \cdot \frac{2}{12} ] [ = 0 + \frac{1}{12} + \frac{12}{12} + \frac{45}{12} + \frac{32}{12} = \frac{1+12+45+32}{12} = \frac{90}{12} = \frac{15}{2} ]

Now, compute V(X)\text{V}(X): [ \text{V}(X) = E[X^2] - (E[X])^2 = \frac{15}{2} - \left(\frac{5}{2}\right)^2 = \frac{15}{2} - \frac{25}{4} = \frac{30}{4} - \frac{25}{4} = \frac{5}{4} ]

Finally, substitute into the variance formula: [ \text{V}\left(\frac{X}{a}\right) = 36 \cdot \frac{5}{4} = 36 \cdot \frac{5}{4} = 45 ]

The answer is 45. \boxed{45}

Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] I will use Python to compute the variance of (X/a) by first finding the value of a and then the moments of X.

[PYTHON]

# Define the probabilities for x=0,1,2,3
p0 = 1/12
p1 = 1/12
p2 = 3/12
p3 = 5/12

# The probability for x=4 is a, which we compute by normalization
total_prob = p0 + p1 + p2 + p3
a = 1 - total_prob  # which should be 1/6

# Now, compute E[X] and E[X^2]
x_values = [0, 1, 2, 3, 4]
probabilities = [p0, p1, p2, p3, a]

# Expected value E[X]
ex = sum(x * prob for x, prob in zip(x_values, probabilities))

# Expected value of X squared
ex2 = sum(x*x * prob for x, prob in zip(x_values, probabilities))

# Variance of X
var_x = ex2 - ex**2

# Variance of (X/a)
var_scaled = (1/a)**2 * var_x

print(f"V(X) = {var_x}")
print(f"V(X/a) = {var_scaled}")

[/PYTHON]

Tool Output
[PYTHON OUTPUT] SyntaxError: invalid syntax (<string>, line 1) [/PYTHON OUTPUT]
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] I will use Python to compute the variance of (X/a) by first finding the value of a and then the moments of X.

[PYTHON] from sympy import symbols, sum

Define the random variable values

x_values = [0, 1, 2, 3, 4]

Define the probabilities for x=0,1,2,3

p0 = 1/12 p1 = 1/12 p2 = 3/12 p3 = 5/12

Total probability for x=0,1,2,3

total_prob = p0 + p1 + p2 + p3

Probability for x=4 (a)

a = 1 - total_prob

Expected value E[X]

ex = sum(x * prob for x, prob in zip(x_values, [p0, p1, p2, p3, a]))

Expected value of X squared E[X^2]

ex2 = sum(x*x * prob for x, prob in zip(x_values, [p0, p1, p2, p3, a]))

Variance of X

var_x = ex2 - ex**2

Variance of (X/a)

var_scaled = (1/a)**2 * var_x

print(f"V(X) = {var_x}") print(f"V(X/a) = {var_scaled}") [/PYTHON]

Tool Output
[PYTHON OUTPUT] ImportError: cannot import name 'sum' from 'sympy' (/Users/imds/Desktop/Eval-MATH/math_eval_v7/.venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/sympy/__init__.py) [/PYTHON OUTPUT]
Reasoning Process

\boxed{45}

Final Model Output
45

Comparative Analysis (P36) (Average across runs)

Avg Time Taken

Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
684.4
Solar-Open-100B
623.1
K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
454.7
EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
193.2
Deepseek-V3.2
67.4
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
62.2
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking
54.1
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking-2601
44.8
HCX-007(high)
36.9
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
34.2
A.X-4.0 (72B)
25.7
Claude-Opus-4.5
14.8
Grok-4.1-fast
9.0
K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
8.8
GPT-5.1 (high)
8.3
axk1
7.6
GPT-5.2 (high)
7.3

Avg Token Usage

K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
97463.7
EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
43263.0
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking-2601
15982.5
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking
10007.0
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
6659.0
Solar-Open-100B
5881.0
Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
5840.0
HCX-007(high)
4585.0
Grok-4.1-fast
3971.0
Claude-Opus-4.5
3958.0
Deepseek-V3.2
3770.0
K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
3020.0
GPT-5.1 (high)
2953.0
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
2843.0
axk1
2803.0
GPT-5.2 (high)
2716.0
A.X-4.0 (72B)
2312.0