Problem Analysis #36

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Problem Statement

A discrete random variable XX takes integer values from 00 to 44, and its probability mass function is given byP(X=x)={2x112(x=0,1,2,3),a(x=4),\text{P}(X = x) = \begin{cases}\dfrac{|2x - 1|}{12} & (x = 0, 1, 2, 3), \\[4pt]a & (x = 4),\end{cases}where aa is a nonzero constant. ComputeV(1aX).\text{V}\left(\dfrac{1}{a}X\right).[3 points]\

Ground Truth
45
Execution Trace
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] To compute the variance of (\dfrac{1}{a}X), we first determine the constant (a) by ensuring the probability mass function sums to 1. Then, we calculate the expected value (E[X]) and (E[X^2]) to find (\text{Var}(X)). Finally, using the property (\text{Var}(cX) = c^2 \text{Var}(X)), we compute the desired variance.

  1. Find (a):

    • Sum probabilities for (x = 0, 1, 2, 3): [ \sum_{x=0}^3 \frac{|2x - 1|}{12} = \frac{1}{12} + \frac{1}{12} + \frac{3}{12} + \frac{5}{12} = \frac{10}{12} = \frac{5}{6} ]
    • Solve ( \frac{5}{6} + a = 1 ) to get ( a = \frac{1}{6} ).
  2. Calculate (E[X]): [ E[X] = \sum_{x=0}^4 x \cdot P(X = x) = 0 \cdot \frac{1}{12} + 1 \cdot \frac{1}{12} + 2 \cdot \frac{3}{12} + 3 \cdot \frac{5}{12} + 4 \cdot \frac{1}{6} = \frac{5}{2} ]

  3. Calculate (E[X^2]): [ E[X^2] = \sum_{x=0}^4 x^2 \cdot P(X = x) = 0 \cdot \frac{1}{12} + 1 \cdot \frac{1}{12} + 4 \cdot \frac{3}{12} + 9 \cdot \frac{5}{12} + 16 \cdot \frac{1}{6} = \frac{15}{2} ]

  4. Compute (\text{Var}(X)): [ \text{Var}(X) = E[X^2] - (E[X])^2 = \frac{15}{2} - \left(\frac{5}{2}\right)^2 = \frac{5}{4} ]

  5. Compute (\text{Var}\left(\dfrac{1}{a}X\right)): [ \text{Var}\left(\dfrac{1}{a}X\right) = \left(\dfrac{1}{a}\right)^2 \text{Var}(X) = 6^2 \cdot \frac{5}{4} = 36 \cdot \frac{5}{4} = 45 ]

[/THOUGHT] [PYTHON]

Calculate the constant a

prob_sum = sum(abs(2*x - 1)/12 for x in range(4)) a = 1 - prob_sum

Calculate E[X]

E_X = sum(x * (abs(2*x - 1)/12 if x < 4 else a) for x in range(5))

Calculate E[X^2]

E_X2 = sum(x**2 * (abs(2*x - 1)/12 if x < 4 else a) for x in range(5))

Variance of X

var_X = E_X2 - E_X**2

Variance of (1/a)X

var_scaled = (1/a)**2 * var_X

print(var_scaled) [/PYTHON]

Tool Output
[PYTHON OUTPUT] 44.99999999999999 [/PYTHON OUTPUT]
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] The Python output is approximately 45, which matches our manual calculation. The variance of (\dfrac{1}{a}X) is (\boxed{45}). [/THOUGHT]

Final Model Output
45

Comparative Analysis (P36) (Average across runs)

Avg Time Taken

Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
684.4
EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
193.2
Deepseek-V3.2
67.4
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
62.2
HCX-007(high)
36.9
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
34.2
A.X-4.0 (72B)
25.7
Claude-Opus-4.5
14.8
Grok-4.1-fast
9.0
GPT-5.1 (high)
8.3

Avg Token Usage

EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
43263.0
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
6659.0
Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
5840.0
HCX-007(high)
4585.0
Grok-4.1-fast
3971.0
Claude-Opus-4.5
3958.0
Deepseek-V3.2
3770.0
GPT-5.1 (high)
2953.0
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
2843.0
A.X-4.0 (72B)
2312.0