Problem Analysis #36

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5,881 toks
Problem Statement

A discrete random variable XX takes integer values from 00 to 44, and its probability mass function is given byP(X=x)={2x112(x=0,1,2,3),a(x=4),\text{P}(X = x) = \begin{cases}\dfrac{|2x - 1|}{12} & (x = 0, 1, 2, 3), \\[4pt]a & (x = 4),\end{cases}where aa is a nonzero constant. ComputeV(1aX).\text{V}\left(\dfrac{1}{a}X\right).[3 points]\

Ground Truth
45
Execution Trace
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] I need to compute the variance of (1/a)X given the PMF. First, I must determine the constant a by ensuring the probabilities sum to 1. Then, I'll calculate the expected value E[X] and E[X^2] to find the variance V(X). Finally, since V(cX) = c²V(X), I'll compute V((1/a)X) = (1/a)²V(X). I'll use Python to verify all calculations step by step. [/THOUGHT] [PYTHON]

Define the probabilities for x = 0, 1, 2, 3

prob = {} prob[0] = abs(20 - 1)/12 prob[1] = abs(21 - 1)/12 prob[2] = abs(22 - 1)/12 prob[3] = abs(23 - 1)/12

Calculate the sum of probabilities for x=0 to 3

sum_prob_0_to_3 = sum(prob.values()) print("Sum of probabilities for x=0 to 3:", sum_prob_0_to_3)

Determine a such that total probability sums to 1

a = 1 - sum_prob_0_to_3 prob[4] = a print("a:", a)

Verify total probability sums to 1

total_prob = sum(prob.values()) print("Total probability:", total_prob)

Calculate E[X]

E_X = sum(x * prob[x] for x in range(5)) print("E[X]:", E_X)

Calculate E[X^2]

E_X2 = sum(x**2 * prob[x] for x in range(5)) print("E[X^2]:", E_X2)

Calculate variance of X

V_X = E_X2 - E_X**2 print("Variance of X:", V_X)

Calculate 1/a

scale_factor = 1 / a print("1/a:", scale_factor)

Calculate variance of (1/a)X

V_scaled = scale_factor**2 * V_X print("Variance of (1/a)X:", V_scaled) [/PYTHON]

Tool Output
[PYTHON OUTPUT] Sum of probabilities for x=0 to 3: 0.8333333333333334 a: 0.16666666666666663 Total probability: 1.0 E[X]: 2.5 E[X^2]: 7.499999999999999 Variance of X: 1.2499999999999991 1/a: 6.000000000000002 Variance of (1/a)X: 44.99999999999999 [/PYTHON OUTPUT]
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] The Python output confirms the calculations: a = 1/6, E[X] = 2.5, E[X^2] = 7.5, V(X) = 1.25, and V((1/a)X) = 45. This matches the manual derivation. The variance of (1/a)X is exactly 45. [/THOUGHT] \boxed{45}

Final Model Output
45

Comparative Analysis (P36) (Average across runs)

Avg Time Taken

Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
684.4
Solar-Open-100B
623.1
K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
454.7
EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
193.2
Deepseek-V3.2
67.4
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
62.2
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking
54.1
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking-2601
44.8
HCX-007(high)
36.9
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
34.2
A.X-4.0 (72B)
25.7
Claude-Opus-4.5
14.8
Grok-4.1-fast
9.0
K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
8.8
GPT-5.1 (high)
8.3
axk1
7.6
GPT-5.2 (high)
7.3

Avg Token Usage

K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
97463.7
EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
43263.0
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking-2601
15982.5
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking
10007.0
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
6659.0
Solar-Open-100B
5881.0
Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
5840.0
HCX-007(high)
4585.0
Grok-4.1-fast
3971.0
Claude-Opus-4.5
3958.0
Deepseek-V3.2
3770.0
K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
3020.0
GPT-5.1 (high)
2953.0
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
2843.0
axk1
2803.0
GPT-5.2 (high)
2716.0
A.X-4.0 (72B)
2312.0