Problem Analysis #11

18.07s
8,474 toks
Problem Statement

Three students S1S_1, S2S_2, and S3S_3 are given a problem to solve. Consider the following events:AA: At least one of S1S_1, S2S_2, and S3S_3 can solve the problem,BB: S1S_1 can solve the problem, given that neither S2S_2 nor S3S_3 can solve the problem,CC: S2S_2 can solve the problem and S3S_3 cannot solve the problem,DD: S3S_3 can solve the problem.For any event EE, let P(E)P(E) denote the probability of EE. IfP(B)=12,P(C)=110,andP(D)=112,P(B) = \frac{1}{2}, \quad P(C) = \frac{1}{10}, \quad \text{and} \quad P(D) = \frac{1}{12},and P(A)=pqP(A) = \dfrac{p}{q} where pp and qq are coprime positive integers, find the value of p2+q2p^2 + q^2.\

Ground Truth
19441
Execution Trace
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] Define the events properly. Let x = P(none solve) = P(¬S1 ∧ ¬S2 ∧ ¬S3).

From P(B) = P(S1 | ¬S2 ∧ ¬S3) = 1/2, it follows that P(only S1) = x, so P(¬S2 ∧ ¬S3) = 2x.

P(C) = P(S2 ∧ ¬S3) = 1/10.

P(¬S3) = P(¬S2 ∧ ¬S3) + P(S2 ∧ ¬S3) = 2x + 1/10.

But P(¬S3) = 1 - P(D) = 1 - 1/12 = 11/12.

Thus, 2x + 1/10 = 11/12.

Solve: 2x = 11/12 - 1/10 = (110 - 12)/120 = 98/120 = 49/60.

x = 49/120.

P(A) = 1 - x = 71/120.

p=71, q=120 coprime.

Verify with Python: compute 11/12 - 1/10, etc., and p² + q². [/THOUGHT] [PYTHON] from fractions import Fraction

p_not_s3 = Fraction(11,12) p_c = Fraction(1,10) p_not_s2_not_s3 = Fraction(2,1) * Fraction(49,120) # but solve properly

diff = Fraction(11,12) - Fraction(1,10) print("11/12 - 1/10 =", diff)

x = diff / 2 print("x =", x)

p_a = 1 - x print("P(A) =", p_a)

p, q = p_a.numerator, p_a.denominator print("p =", p, "q =", q)

result = p2 + q2 print("p^2 + q^2 =", result) [/PYTHON]

Tool Output
[PYTHON OUTPUT] 11/12 - 1/10 = 49/60 x = 49/120 P(A) = 71/120 p = 71 q = 120 p^2 + q^2 = 19441 [/PYTHON OUTPUT]
Reasoning Process

71² + 120² = 5041 + 14400 = 19441

Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] The Python output confirms P(A) = 71/120, so p=71, q=120, and p² + q² = 19441. [/THOUGHT] \boxed{19441}

Explanation

The reasoning begins by defining key probabilities based on the given events. Let x represent P(¬S1 ∧ ¬S2 ∧ ¬S3), the probability that none of the students solve the problem.

From P(B) = P(S1 | ¬S2 ∧ ¬S3) = 1/2, it follows that P(S1 ∧ ¬S2 ∧ ¬S3) = (1/2) × P(¬S2 ∧ ¬S3), so P(¬S2 ∧ ¬S3) = 2x.

P(C) = P(S2 ∧ ¬S3) = 1/10.

P(¬S3) = P(¬S2 ∧ ¬S3) + P(S2 ∧ ¬S3) = 2x + 1/10.

Since P(D) = P(S3) = 1/12, then P(¬S3) = 1 - 1/12 = 11/12.

Set up the equation: 2x + 1/10 = 11/12.

Solve for x: 2x = 11/12 - 1/10 = (110 - 12)/120 = 98/120 = 49/60, so x = (49/60) / 2 = 49/120.

Thus, P(A) = 1 - x = 1 - 49/120 = 71/120.

Here, 71 and 120 are coprime, so p = 71 and q = 120.

Finally, compute p² + q² = 71² + 120² = 5041 + 14400 = 19441, as verified by the Python output.

Final Model Output
19441

Comparative Analysis (P11) (Average across runs)

Avg Time Taken

Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
228.5
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
51.6
Deepseek-V3.2
43.4
HCX-007(high)
39.0
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
33.7
A.X-4.0 (72B)
26.7
GPT-5.1 (high)
18.1
Grok-4.1-fast
18.1
Claude-Opus-4.5
16.1
EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
5.8

Avg Token Usage

Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
10703.0
Grok-4.1-fast
8474.0
Solar-Pro-2 (31B)(high)
6509.0
A.X-4.0 (72B)
5008.0
Deepseek-V3.2
4986.0
HCX-007(high)
4852.0
EXAONE-4.0.1-32B (high)
4557.0
Claude-Opus-4.5
4549.0
GPT-5.1 (high)
3536.0
Llama-VARCO-8B-Instruct
2394.0