Problem Analysis #7

2.49s
2,698 toks
Problem Statement

A student tosses a fair coin 2020 times and lets NN be the number of heads observed. Thus

NBinomial(20,1/2).N \sim \mathrm{Binomial}(20,1/2).

For a complicated risk measure, the student needs the value of the fourth moment E[N4]\mathbb{E}[N^4]. Define

K:=1000E[N4].K := 1000 \cdot \mathbb{E}[N^4].

Compute the exact integer value of KK.

Ground Truth
13072500
Execution Trace
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] To compute the fourth moment (\mathbb{E}[N^4]) of a binomial distribution (N \sim \mathrm{Binomial}(20, 1/2)), we can use the properties of the binomial distribution. The fourth moment can be derived using the moment generating function or known formulas for binomial moments. Alternatively, we can use the sympy library to compute the expectation directly. Once we have (\mathbb{E}[N^4]), we multiply it by 1000 to get the exact integer value of (K). [/THOUGHT] [PYTHON] from sympy import symbols, binomial n = symbols('n', integer=True) p = 1/2 N = binomial(20, p) E_N4 = sum(k4 * binomial(20, k) * pk * (1-p)**(20-k) for k in range(21)) K = 1000 * E_N4 print(int(K)) [/PYTHON]

Tool Output
[PYTHON OUTPUT] 13072500 [/PYTHON OUTPUT]
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] The Python output confirms that the exact integer value of (K) is (13072500). [/THOUGHT] \boxed{13072500}

Final Model Output
13072500

Comparative Analysis (P7) (Average across runs)

Avg Time Taken

Solar-Open-100B
210.9
Solar-Pro 2
60.8
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking
52.2
naver-hyperclovax/HCX-007
36.0
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking-2601
33.4
Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
27.5
model_d_r1
22.5
GLM-4.5-Air
17.0
K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
13.9
GPT-5.2 (high)
8.4
axk1
5.8
EXAONE-4.0-32B
3.2

Avg Token Usage

Solar-Pro 2
12433.0
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking
10068.0
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking-2601
8240.0
naver-hyperclovax/HCX-007
4776.3
Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
4468.3
EXAONE-4.0-32B
4113.3
model_d_r1
4096.0
Solar-Open-100B
3704.0
GLM-4.5-Air
2856.7
K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
2745.3
GPT-5.2 (high)
2738.3
axk1
2560.7