Problem Analysis #7

8.90s
2,796 toks
Problem Statement

A student tosses a fair coin 2020 times and lets NN be the number of heads observed. Thus

NBinomial(20,1/2).N \sim \mathrm{Binomial}(20,1/2).

For a complicated risk measure, the student needs the value of the fourth moment E[N4]\mathbb{E}[N^4]. Define

K:=1000E[N4].K := 1000 \cdot \mathbb{E}[N^4].

Compute the exact integer value of KK.

Ground Truth
13072500
Execution Trace
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] Compute E[N^4] exactly for N~Binomial(20,1/2) by summing k^4 * P(N=k) with exact rationals, then multiply by 1000 and verify the result is an integer. [/THOUGHT] [PYTHON] import sympy as sp

n=20 k=sp.Symbol('k', integer=True) E4 = sp.summation((k4)*sp.binomial(n,k), (k,0,n)) / (2n) E4_simplified = sp.nsimplify(E4) print("E[N^4] =", sp.simplify(E4)) K = sp.simplify(1000*E4) print("K =", K) print("Is integer?", K.is_integer) print("K as int:", int(K)) [/PYTHON][THOUGHT] Compute E[N^4] exactly for N~Binomial(20,1/2) by summing k^4 * P(N=k) with exact rationals, then multiply by 1000 and verify the result is an integer. [/THOUGHT] [PYTHON] import sympy as sp

n=20 k=sp.Symbol('k', integer=True) E4 = sp.summation(k4 * sp.binomial(n,k), (k,0,n)) / (2n) E4 = sp.simplify(E4) K = sp.simplify(1000*E4)

print(E4) print(K) print(K.is_integer) print(int(K)) [/PYTHON]

Tool Output
[PYTHON OUTPUT] E[N^4] = 26145/2 K = 13072500 Is integer? True K as int: 13072500 [/PYTHON OUTPUT] [PYTHON OUTPUT] 26145/2 13072500 True 13072500 [/PYTHON OUTPUT]
Reasoning Process

[THOUGHT] From the computed fourth moment (\mathbb{E}[N^4]=26145/2), we get (K=1000\cdot \mathbb{E}[N^4]=13072500). [ \boxed{13072500} ]

Final Model Output
13072500

Comparative Analysis (P7) (Average across runs)

Avg Time Taken

Solar-Open-100B
210.9
Solar-Pro 2
60.8
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking
52.2
naver-hyperclovax/HCX-007
36.0
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking-2601
33.4
Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
27.5
model_d_r1
22.5
GLM-4.5-Air
17.0
K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
13.9
GPT-5.2 (high)
8.4
axk1
5.8
EXAONE-4.0-32B
3.2

Avg Token Usage

Solar-Pro 2
12433.0
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking
10068.0
Kanana-2-30B-Thinking-2601
8240.0
naver-hyperclovax/HCX-007
4776.3
Gemini-3-Pro-Preview
4468.3
EXAONE-4.0-32B
4113.3
model_d_r1
4096.0
Solar-Open-100B
3704.0
GLM-4.5-Air
2856.7
K-EXAONE-236B-A23B
2745.3
GPT-5.2 (high)
2738.3
axk1
2560.7